Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.021968 0.023818 0.025750 0.027919 0.030289 0.032800 0.035664
2025-08-10 0.018948 0.021624 0.024576 0.028080 0.032134 0.036685 0.042193
2025-08-17 0.016679 0.019765 0.023310 0.027697 0.032995 0.039207 0.047073
2025-08-24 0.014957 0.018268 0.022198 0.027227 0.033518 0.041163 0.051211
2025-08-31 0.013701 0.017172 0.021409 0.026990 0.034186 0.043207 0.055457
2025-09-07 0.012680 0.016259 0.020737 0.026787 0.034805 0.045138 0.059589
2025-09-14 0.011844 0.015502 0.020183 0.026657 0.035451 0.047078 0.063783
2025-09-21 0.011047 0.014732 0.019544 0.026343 0.035788 0.048574 0.067408
2025-09-28 0.010491 0.014240 0.019230 0.026424 0.036636 0.050773 0.072103
2025-10-05 0.009919 0.013683 0.018785 0.026279 0.037132 0.052475 0.076149
2025-10-12 0.009483 0.013287 0.018531 0.026373 0.037953 0.054655 0.080995
2025-10-19 0.009068 0.012894 0.018253 0.026404 0.038664 0.056690 0.085715
2025-10-26 0.008572 0.012375 0.017789 0.026173 0.039025 0.058304 0.090029
2025-11-02 0.008244 0.012084 0.017647 0.026415 0.040120 0.061106 0.096420
2025-11-09 0.007785 0.011572 0.017143 0.026070 0.040277 0.062447 0.100534
2025-11-16 0.007340 0.011057 0.016604 0.025633 0.040248 0.063472 0.104168
2025-11-23 0.006985 0.010658 0.016219 0.025411 0.040540 0.065012 0.108743
2025-11-30 0.006664 0.010296 0.015871 0.025222 0.040864 0.066607 0.113494
2025-12-07 0.006383 0.009981 0.015577 0.025100 0.041284 0.068372 0.118639
2025-12-14 0.006083 0.009621 0.015193 0.024805 0.041387 0.069590 0.122869
2025-12-21 0.005881 0.009409 0.015037 0.024881 0.042123 0.071934 0.129286
2025-12-28 0.005650 0.009137 0.014767 0.024745 0.042476 0.073612 0.134565
2026-01-04 0.005476 0.008952 0.014633 0.024833 0.043225 0.076031 0.141393